The total cases of covid as at today in Lagos state -82 cases.
Average exposure of a case – 50 people. (NCDC)
Total exposure using our average put possible cases at – 4,100
Implication is that if the expose are walking free we may have further exposure of – 205,000
Lagos burden of exposed human host of 205,000
And recent cases has not been reported in the last 24hrs despite the lockdown. Then two things may be happening.
1. Exposed carriers are not been traced or we lack capacity to trace and contain such figures.
2. Cases are been managed through our usual self medications or carriers are avoiding been traced.
The case am making is that Lagosians must adhere strictly to the two weeks stay at home for the mop up exercise to take its course?
The above is premised on
As at close of day March 31, 2020; confirmed cases in Nigeria stood at 139 with 82 of those in Lagos. The commercial hub is enforcing a lockdown imposed by President Buhari to help arrest spread of the virus.
Total tallies are 139 confirmed cases, 9 discharged, 2 deaths. For a breakdown of cases by states in real time